Proceedings of the
The 33rd European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2023)
3 – 8 September 2023, Southampton, UK
Key Performance Indicators of Aging Safety Barriers in Oil and Gas Facilities
1Energy Department, Politecnico di Milano, Milano 20156, Italy.
2MINES Paris-PSL, Centre de Recherche sur les Risques et les Crises (CRC), Sophia Antipolis, France.
3Eni Natural Resources - HSEQ, via Emilia 1, 20097 San Donato Milanese, Italy.
ABSTRACT
Aging of safety barriers can degrade their performance and increase risk in Oil and Gas (O&G) facilities. Condition-informed risk assessment can be used to assess the risk of a facility given the actual performance of its safety barriers and eventually prescribe maintenance activities. In this work, we propose a novel definition of Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) of safety barriers that allows accounting for their aging. When sufficient barrier failure data are available, a Q-Weibull model is used to quantify a corrective factor that multiplies the no-aging basis KPI value. When barrier failure data are scarce, which is often the case in practice, the corrective factor is quantified by an expert-based Weibull-like distribution, that anchors some or all the different stages of barrier life (such as infant and wear-out mortality phases) with the few, limited data available. The safety barrier of Design Integrity (DI), typically employed in upstream Oil and Gas (O&G) platforms, is numerically elaborated as a practical example.
Keywords: Safety barrier, Aging, Key Performance Indicator (KPI), Bathtub curve, Q-Weibull distribution, Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE).