Proceedings of the

The 33rd European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2023)
3 – 8 September 2023, Southampton, UK

Topography-Based Fuzzy Assessment of Burning Area in Wildfire Spread Simulation

Clément Iphara, Laurence Boudetb and Jean-Philippe Polic

Université Paris-Saclay, CEA, List, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette cedex, France.


Wildfire propagation simulation is a key asset for first responders in their operational management. Geographical features, such as the terrain, and meteorological features, such as wind, play a key role in the evolution of a wildfire. However, some aspects of the propagation are fuzzy by nature, e.g. velocity regarding weather conditions and terrains. In this paper, we propose a topography-based fuzzy approach to wildfire simulation. Without loss of generality, we illustrate this assessment with some examples from an area of interest in Southern France.

Keywords: Topographic fuzzy modeling, Uncertain fire propagation, Spatial reasoning, Crisis management.

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