Proceedings of the
35th European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL2025) and
the 33rd Society for Risk Analysis Europe Conference (SRA-E 2025)
15 – 19 June 2025, Stavanger, Norway

Impact of Common-Cause Failures on the Availability of Connected (r,s)-out-of-(m,n):F systems

Christian Tanguy

Orange Innovation/DATA-AI, Orange, France.

ABSTRACT

There has been a renewed interest in connected bi-dimensional configurations, since they successfully describe real-life systems such as cellular networks, communication and property security solutions, etc. The computation of their availability has long been known as a delicate task, especially for large systems. Most of the published studies have considered independent failures for identical elements.
In this work, we investigate the modification of the availability of connected (r,s)-out-of-(m,n):F systems when common-cause failures or correlations are present. It turns out that the availability may be larger or smaller than its value in the case of purely independent failures; this is also true for the failure frequency. The transition between these two behaviors occurs at a component critical unavailability qc that depends on the size of the system. Analytical expressions for the asymptotic values of qc are given in the case of the β-factor model and binomial failure rate models, as well as for correlations described by a degenerate Gaussian copula. A comparison with the case of one-dimensional consecutive configurations is also provided.

Keywords: Connected (r,s)-out-of-(m,n):F lattice system, Network reliability, Availability, Common-cause failures, Correlations, Asymptotic expansions.



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