Proceedings of the
35th European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL2025) and
the 33rd Society for Risk Analysis Europe Conference (SRA-E 2025)
15 – 19 June 2025, Stavanger, Norway

Strengthening Supply Security in Future Economic Crises: Towards ICT-based Solutions for Distribution Problems

Martin Latzenhofer1,a, Stephan Krenn1,b, Stefan Schauer1,c, Brigitte Allex2,d, Christian Stefan2,e, Angel Gaydarov3,f and Michael Scsepka3,g

1Center for Digital Safety & Security, AIT Austrian Institute of Technology, Austria.

2Directorate Spatial Statistics, Statistics Austria.

3Center for Sustainable Production and Logistics, Fraunhofer Austria Research, Austria.

ABSTRACT

The multiple, complex geopolitical and economic crises of recent years, such as the COVID-19 pandemic and gas shortages resulting from the Russian invasion of Ukraine highlight the need for national governments to address shortages of critical goods and services. This includes developing systems for their equitable allocation to specific population groups. Traditional ration coupon systems, such as post-World War II `food stamps' proved to be inflexible and incompatible with demands of a modern information society. The Austrian research project `e-Panini', a collaboration between public administration, federal states, interest groups, academia, and corporate partners, seeks to establish the necessary technical, legislative, societal, and organizational prerequisites for a modern ration coupon system leveraging information and communication technology (ICT). The proposed system enables continuous supply-side coordination of food, hygiene products, medicines, and other critical everyday goods. Its architecture integrates inventory management systems of major distributors, including grocery retailers, drugstores, and pharmacies to provide data on the spatial availability of these goods. The e-Panini system offers a differentiated and inclusive understanding of population needs, accounting for factors such as age, gender, occupation, health intolerances, and cultural or personal dietary preferences. By incorporating daily calorie requirements and other specific needs, it ensures a tailored and equitable approach to resource allocation. For end users, a mobile application-based system is envisioned to simplify deployment and enhance acceptance. To accommodate less tech-savvy individuals and ensure functionality during blackouts, alternative analogue participation options are included. While ICT integration significantly enhances system flexibility, it also introduces challenges, such as data protection, blackout resilience, pre-configuration for high-capacity demands, and offline operation with subsequent data synchronization. This article presents a conceptual architecture model for an ICT-based ration coupon system, addressing its content and technical challenges. It also explores potential solutions to ensure secure, efficient, and inclusive operation under various crisis scenarios.

Keywords: Supply security, Critical goods and services, Ration coupon system, Distribution problem, Mobile ICT application.



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