Proceedings of the
35th European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL2025) and
the 33rd Society for Risk Analysis Europe Conference (SRA-E 2025)
15 – 19 June 2025, Stavanger, Norway
Modelling Power Disruption Scenarios and Assessing Resilience of a Power System
European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Ispra, Italy.
ABSTRACT
The paper addresses resilience assessment of a power system due to disruption of interconnecting power lines. The power system analysed is based on an anonymized EU region well interconnected with other Member States. We analyse several disruption scenarios and rank them by introducing a resilience index. The selected disruptions are modelled using the - open source - PyPSA-Eur software tool. The study aims to quantify and rank importance of interconnecting supply routes to the security of power supply in the analysed region.
Keywords: Resilience assessment, Power system, Modelling of disruptions, Energy security, PyPSA, Energy not served, HVDC cable, Critical energy infrastructure.