Proceedings of the
35th European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL2025) and
the 33rd Society for Risk Analysis Europe Conference (SRA-E 2025)
15 – 19 June 2025, Stavanger, Norway

How Disruption Information and Simulation Approaches Benefit Stakeholders in Transport

Corinna Köpke1,a, Tobias Rinnert1, Alexander Stolz1, Concepcion Toribio Diaz2,b, Pablo Jose Vallhonrat Blanco2, Fereshteh Jafari Shahdani3, Dang Ngoc Son3,c, Miltiadis Kontogeorgos4,d, Saimir Osmani4, Gonzalo Durán Piñeiro5,e, Raquel Ortega Hita5, Jan Tore Pedersen6, Sahar Babri7,f, María Díez7, Marta Waldmann8,g, Krzysztof Matysiak8 and Fatemeh Fadaei9,h, Pier Francesco Giordano9

1Fraunhofer Institute for High-Speed Dynamics, Ernst-Mach Institut, EMI, 79588 Efringen-Kirchen, Germany.

2Centro de Estudios de Materiales y Control de Obra SA, Calle Benaque 9, Malaga 29004, Spain.

3Universidade do Minho, Largo do Paco, Braga 4704 553, Portugal.

4RINA Consulting SPA, Via Cecchi 6, Genova 16129, Italy.

5Universidad de Vigo, LG Campug Lagos Marcosende, Vigo Pontevedra 36310, Spain.

6MARLO AS, Tryms vei 6, Heer 1445, Norway.

7SINTEF AS, Strindvegen 4, Trondheim 7034, Norway.

8Lukasiewicz Research Network - Poznan Institute of Technology, Poznan, Poland.

9Politecnico di Milano, Piazza Leonardo da Vinci, Milano 20133, Italy.

ABSTRACT

The vulnerability of transport processes has been visible in various disruptions over the last years such as extreme weather events, the pandemic, and the war in Ukraine. Additionally, according to the International Energy Agency, the transport sector is globally responsible for more than 7000 MtCO2 emissions with a large portion due to heavy trucks. These trucks are still widely used for goods transportation but also a popular choice in case of disruptions. The EU-project SARIL brings together researchers and stakeholders in the transport domain to study the impact of certain disruptive events, propose better handling strategies supported by technical solutions and enable sustainable transport also in the case of disruptions. This paper presents the SARIL tools and the respective improvements for the businesses of four main roles in the transport sector. An information interface that receives information about disruptive events, such as forest fires, flooding events and reduced infrastructure capacities, forms the basis for the other SARIL tools. Traffic simulations along with sensor data from the infrastructure provide decision support for (1) infrastructure and (2) traffic managers. A network-based simulation environment enables (3) strategic logistics managers to plan routes considering various management strategies such as synchro-modal approaches. The latter also serve (4) operational logistics managers in combination with detailed route attributes for more resilient and sustainable route planning.

Keywords: Transport, Resilience, Sustainability, Disruptions, Hybrid threats.



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